Objective: To explore the value of contrast-enhanced ultrasound(CEUS) parameters combined with serum carcinoembryonic antigen(CEA) and alpha-fetoprotein(AFP) in the diagnosis of benign and malignant liver nodules. Methods: A total of 116 patients with liver nodular lesions(training set) in Nanjing Pukou District Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine from January 2022 to December 2024 were selected, 116 patients with liver nodular lesions(validation set) from January 2025 to September 2025 were selected by 1∶1 ratio. The patients in training set were divided into malignant group(malignant liver nodules, n=92) and benign group(benign liver nodules, n=24) according to the results of liver biopsy. The baseline data, CEUS parameters [contrast agent arrival time(AT), time to peak(TTP), peak intensity(PI), fitting curve sharpness, regression time], serum CEA and AFP levels were compared between the two groups. The receiver operating characteristic(ROC) curve, calibration curve and decision curve were used to analyze the value of CEUS parameters and serum tumor markers in the diagnosis of benign and malignant liver nodules. The CEUS quantitative parameters combined with serum CEA and AFP were used to construct a combined model, and the efficacy of the combined model in the diagnosis of benign and malignant liver nodules was analyzed. Results: The AT and PI in the malignant group were higher than those in the benign group, the TTP, the sharpness of the fitting curve and the regression time were lower than those in the benign group, and the serum CEA and AFP levels were higher than those in the benign group(P<0.05). The area under the ROC curve(AUC) of AT, TTP, PI, fitting curve sharpness, regression time, serum CEA and AFP in the diagnosis of benign and malignant liver nodules were 0.830,0.738,0.802,0.782,0.775,0.776 and 0.786, respectively. Based on CEUS parameters combined with serum CEA and AFP, a combined Logistic regression model was constructed. The prediction probability Logit(P) generated by the model was used as the combined diagnostic index. ROC curve analysis showed that the AUC of the combined model in the diagnosis of benign and malignant liver nodules was 0.916(95%CI: 0.850-0.960 ), the sensitivity was 84.78%, and the specificity was 87.50%. The AUC of combined model was significantly greater than that of AT, TTP, PI, fitting curve sharpness, regression time, serum CEA and AFP alone(P<0.05). The Bootstrap method showed that the diagnostic results of the combined model were consistent with the actual results(Dxy value=0.901), and the Hosmer-Lemeshow test showed that P=0.770, the calibration degree was high, and the decision curve analysis showed that the combined model had good clinical efficacy. External validation showed that the AUC of the combined model for the diagnosis of benign and malignant liver nodules was 0.880(95%CI: 0.803-0.956), the sensitivity was 77.78%, and the specificity was 75.28%. The diagnostic results of the combined model were in good agreement with the actual results(Dxy value=0.862, Hosmer-Lemeshow test P=0.739), and the clinical efficacy of the combined model was good. Conclusion: There are significant differences in CEUS quantitative parameters, serum CEA and AFP between patients with benign and malignant liver nodules. The combined application of AT, TTP, PI, fitting curve sharpness, regression time and serum CEA and AFP is helpful to improve the diagnostic value of benign and malignant liver nodules. |
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